Ok, so how was peace achieved in the middle east? Was it Trump? Was it Israel and their resolve to continue the fight? Or was it what the democrats are saying, a deal made by Biden. Well, I can't say for certain what happened as I wasn't involved with any of that. I can tell you what I think though, based on my life experiences. It isn't anything scholarly based on any research or supported by citations from those with advanced degrees or pop stars, actors and rappers. No, it is just what I think the real deal is.
Hamas was getting their butts kicked big time. Their "leadership" had been killed in multiple strikes. The biggest problem however is they were running out of support. And by support I mean money. I'm quite certain there are plenty of terrorists and rebels that agree with their ideology. There is no lack of that support in that regard, but that isn't money. The time had come for the leadership to grab whatever they can from a bad situation and get out of dodge. That is what is being promised to them isn't it? A way out. I heard that they were to be exiled.
What does it mean to be exiled? It means we won't kill you and we will let you live in relative comfort. You just can't return to your "home" wherever that is. Doesn't mean you can't continue to plan and plot evil deeds, or urge others to do that. It is the best you can hope for if you find yourself in that situation. Not being tried as war criminals is a great incentive to agreeing to a peace deal. Ok, I'll quit as long as you don't hold me accountable for any of that. Call it a gentleman's agreement if you will. All that remains now is getting those "supporters" to go along with that plan. What are they being promised? Well, not an outright promise, but some reassurance from the "winners" that they will recoup some of their losses expended in supporting Hamas. A chance to refill the coffers a bit.
So what happens to that area known as the Gaza strip and those that inhabited that area? I expect it will be cleaned up, rebuilt and life will continue on. Those displaced will return and be given help. Who will control that area? To the victors belong the spoils in an old adage and it applies in this situation. Gaza has been designated as a Palestinian territory but I don't know if that will continue to be the case. The west bank is the other territory designated in that fashion. It's all very complicated when it comes down to that.
I have thought perhaps it would turn into a sort of demilitarized zone like in Korea. But does that territory have a military other than those terrorists calling themselves Hamas? The OSLO accords barred Palestine from establishing an army. I wouldn't agree to having Hamas next door if I were Israel so it's a bit of an issue. Will NATO provide troops from many nations to act as buffers? In the Korean DMZ 90% of the troops are from South Korean forces with another 10% being provided by the United States. North Korea has a very large presence close to that zone. In fact about 750,000 within 100 kilometers. (62 miles) The south Korean numbers, about 595 Koreans and 65 Americans. How many would be provided for Gaza?
You see the issue with that? At least in Korea they are all Koreans facing each other. I'm certain they have relatives and family members on both sides of the line. There is talk of reunification every now and again. It's not the same deal with those Palestinians and Israelites. They kind of have a bit of history of not getting along well. It just might be a good idea to keep those groups separated as much as possible. How can that be accomplished? If I had that answer I'd be a genius.
All I know is that given time, given the resources and the motivation the conflict will resume. You can't stop time, and their motivation will never change either. All that is left is the denial of the resources. That's the only way I can see peace holding. Of course, in my opinion that should begin with holding those responsible, the leadership of Hamas responsible for their actions. The message should be loud and clear! A tribunal should be convened and punishment meted out. And that punishment should extend to those that provided the resources to wage that war. That just might reduce the "motivation" a bit!
A supporter and a martyr are quite different! A tactical retreat is sometimes the wisest choice you can make. What's that we say? If you can't stand the heat, get out of the kitchen. Live to fight another day. Being exiled to the living room isn't such a bad thing. The heat was on those leaders and they were well aware of it. It's one thing to have others getting shot, bombed and abused but when it gets too close to you, time to run. Their motivation wasn't to give their followers a better life, it was to enrich themselves.
As for those that provided the resources you have to hurt them enough that they will think twice before engaging in that again. Tariffs are an excellent source for doing just that. Those supporting all of that did so with the promise of reward. They didn't do that just because they agree with Hamas. There was an expectation of reward, of a return on the investment. Deny that return and they quickly retreat, some become downright unfriendly toward those they were supporting.. Yes, money talks loudest of all. You don't have to like it, agree with it, acknowledge that in any way, but it remains the truth. Always has, always will. The whole deal became unprofitable and that is what happened. Time to fall back, regroup, and devise another plan. Come up with another name and attempt to gain support. When a solution that is profitable for all is formulated, peace will hold, that is until someone decides they want a bigger share.
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